Saturday, August 24, 2013

Pinterest – The Ultimate Collection of Magazines

If you’re like me when it comes to buying magazines, you enjoy reading the articles, but it is the pictures that grab your attention and the object upon which you place most of your attention.  So what if you could take all of the images available to you from GQ to Vogue to Crate & Barrel and other apparel and home furnishings magazines, and place them all in one easy to access, organized space?  Now imagine that space is controlled with the single click of a mouse.  This is exactly the concept that is brought to life by Pinterest. 

With 29 Million unique users during the month of December 2012[1], Pinterest is the third most-visited social network after Facebook and Twitter[2].  Within the e-commerce sphere, however, sharing across Pinterest beats out Facebook with 41% of shares occurring through Pinterest, compared to 37% of shares through Facebook. 


To see how different social media sites influence various aspects of the web, click the here


Pinterest’s greatest value proposition, perhaps, arises in the type of content Pinterest users share with one another.  Whereas most e-commerce sites are dominated by electronics, which offer retailers very low profit margins, Pinterest is dominated by products like apparel and home furnishings, which can have margins of up to 50%.  “Across the web, the average sale resulting from a Pinterest user following an image back to its source and then buying the item is $180, according to research from e-commerce firm RichRelevance, compared with $80 for Facebook users and $70 for Twitter users[3].”   Monetizing the value added to these retailers appears to be the best opportunity for Pinterest to generate revenues. 

Assuming each of Pinterest’s 29 million users buy one product per year as the result of clicking through Pinterest, and Pinterest collects $2.00 on average for each one of these purchases, they would generate approximately $135M in revenue.  Pinterest has a highly fixed cost structure, with most of their expenses coming in the form of human capital (designers and programmers) and IT infrastructure.  Assuming Pinterest employs 200 designers and 50 developers at an average annual salary of $100,000, their personnel expenses account for $25M in annual cost.  IT infrastructure, which I estimated to be $10M based on the current size of the business as compared to my own company, accounts for the remaining cost.  Based on these figures, Pinterest has the ability to currently generate approximately $100M in annual profit, which equates to a 74% margin!

Pinterst’s high operating leverage (fixed costs) and rapid growth in acceptance and usage, combined with its ability to drive purchase decisions based on the organized manner in which the site displays high quality and profitable products, makes it in a prime candidate for a $1B plus valuation.  In fact, the time of this writing, various outlets are currently valuing Pinterest at ~$2.5B. 




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